Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Governmetn Shutdown Day 15: Rapidly Evolving Plans Constantly Change


A lot of activity last night and this morning and continuing through the day….things are changing every hour.

In a nutshell here is the latest….but please keep in mind that this could change in a moment….

The LATEST - The House and Senate are engaging in dual-track negotiations today in search of a debt-ceiling deal. In the Senate, Majority Leader Harry Reid and Republican Senators  appeared close to a deal that would extend the debt ceiling for several months, as well as reopen the government with funding to last through the year's end.

But those talks have come to a halt —possibly temporary—after details leaked about a separate proposal from House Republicans, which would raise the debt ceiling but again included provisions modifying Obamacare.

Now, progress is shaky in the Senate, and the House plan is under siege: Reid declared it a nonstarter in the Senate, and there are questions about whether it could pass the House, as a number of the most conservative Republicans say Speaker John Boehner is giving away too much.

(Background- House Republican leaders announced earlier today that they would propose their own plan to reopen the government and extend the debt ceiling, rather than vote on a Senate proposal negotiated by Senate leaders Harry Reid and Mitch McConnell.

Like the emerging Senate proposal, the House Republican proposal was expected to fund the government until January 15 and extend the debt ceiling until February 7. However, the House Republican proposal is expected to make more changes to the Affordable Care Act than the Senate proposal, such as delaying the medical device tax. Sen. McConnell was scheduled to present the Reid-McConnell proposal to Senate Republicans this morning, but held off after House Republican leaders announced they would propose their own plan.

House Republican leaders were floating yet another plan to reopen the government and avert default.

According to Rep. Devin Nunes, R-Calif., the latest plan would drop a demand to delay the medical device tax in Obamacare and drop a demand for income verification under Obamacare. Instead, Republicans would target the health benefits of both lawmakers and congressional staff, as well as political appointees.

This iteration of the plan would keep the government running until Dec. 15, instead of Jan. 15.

The latest changes came after the plan presented this morning by Speaker John A. Boehner was panned by many Republicans in his conference.

Republican leadership met in Boehner’s office Tuesday afternoon to discuss next steps, and a House GOP aide said that closed-door discussions were currently focused on two areas that could make the fiscal package more palatable to the rank and file — the so-called Vitter language targeting health benefits and changing the date on the CR.

The House Democratic leadership is at the White House now to discuss developments with the President.

Last night a “secret” meeting was held at a nearby neighborhood restaurant (named Tortilla Coast) led by Sen. Ted Cruz.  A number of conservative lawmakers confirmed they participated in the meeting  but they declined to offer details.  This group is now called the “Tortilla Coast Republicans” and have been opposed to a “clean” Continuing Resolution.
 
Some numbers for you --

15: Number of days of the government shutdown
17: Number of years since the last government shutdown
$1.4 billion: The cost of the 1995-96 government shutdown
$55 billion: Estimated cost to the economy of a 3-4 week shutdown, according to Moody’s Analytics
1.4 percentage points: Amount fourth quarter GDP could be reduced if government remains shut down for three or four weeks, according to Moody’s economist Mark Zandi
500,000: Estimated number of federal employees not working due to the government shutdown
$160 million: Cost to the economy per weekday from furloughed workers, according to HIS Inc.

More to come...

 

 

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